Home1797 Edition

EXPECTATION OF LIFE

Volume 501 · 276 words · 1797 Edition

in the doctrine of life annuities, is the share, or number of years of life, which a person of a given age may, upon an equality of chance, expect to enjoy.

By the expectation or share of life, says Mr Simpson (*Select Exercises*, p. 273), is not here to be understood that particular period which a person hath an equal chance of surviving; this last being a different and more simple consideration. The expectation of a life, to put it in the most familiar light, may be taken as the number of years at which the purchase of an annuity, granted upon it, without discount of money, ought to be valued. Which number of years will differ more or less from the period abovementioned, according to the different degrees of mortality to which the several stages of life are incident. Thus it is much more than an equal chance, according to the table of the probability of the duration of life which the same author has given us, that an infant just come into the world, arrives not to the age of ten years; yet the expectation or share of life due to it, upon an average, is near twenty years. The reason of which wide difference is the great excess of the probability of mortality in the first tender years of life, above that respecting the more mature and stronger ages. Indeed if the numbers that die at every age were to be the same, the two quantities above specified would also be equal; but when the said numbers become continually less and less, the expectation must of consequence be the greater of the two.